As the AP's Michael Marot stresses, the AFC South has quickly turned into a 2-team division – comparable with the NFC West, actually. One team is established, but feeling extreme pressure to win (Houston/San Fran); another had a surprisingly good year last year, and could challenge the first for the division lead (Seattle/Indy); the third is trying to make a comeback, but doesn't seem like they will (Tennessee/St. Louis).
And, you know. The last one sucks.
Anyway, according to Marot:
Horsepower II: Andrew Luck is the best young quarterback in the division, and Indy's offence could improve with the addition of veteran linemen Gosder Cherilus and Donald Thomas, proven running back Ahmad Bradshaw and receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, a potential deep threat. Where the Colts made the most progress, though, is on defence.
Suddenly, the Colts look aggressive and confident in Chuck Pagano's version of the Ravens' 3-4 front and this year, the Colts have more players who fit into the system. A year ago, the Colts were good enough to reach the playoffs and push Baltimore on the road. This year, the Colts' young team faces a tougher schedule and higher expectations, but don't expect a major drop-off from the division's second-best team.
To be honest, both Jacksonville and Tennessee were awful in the preseason. Both went 1-3; the Titans are harbouring major injury concerns, especially with Greene and Washington being forced out of week three (and then not reappearing in week four, for obvious reasons). While Jacksonville isn't necessarily worse than the Jets, Raiders, or Browns, they still won't win many games this year.
We'll see. I'm optimistic.