Icing the kicker

Advanced NFL Stats takes on a different kind of icing by looking at the effects of temperature and wind on kicking:

Roughly, it appears about 30 degrees of temperature is equivalent to about 5 yds of distance. It’s not clear-cut because wind can correlate with bitter cold temperatures, but as we’ll see below, teams are good at managing wind conditions on kicks.

For example, a 52-yard attempt in moderate temperatures can be expected to be successful about 55% of the time. But in temperatures at or below 30 degrees, they can be expected to be successful about 30% of the time, which is about the success rate for 57-yd attempts.