First round momentum?

Mike Tanier points out the lunacy of believing talking heads who believe “momentum” from wild card games carries a team in the second round:

Since 2001, teams with a first-round bye are 25-15 (.625) in the second round of the playoffs. In gambling terms, 62.5 percent is as close as you will get to a “lock” in the NFL. The home team doesn’t always win, but it doesn’t spend the bye getting rusty and forgetting all the things that led to home-field advantage, either.

Quantcast