Joe Fortenbaugh of the National Football Post studied 10-win "comeback" teams last season, and found that the vast majority of them regressed the following year. The Colts went from a losing season to an 11-5 team last year, and fall under that category. Fortenbaugh says they're prime candidates to regress in 2013.
Even though Indy managed to hit double digits in the win column last season, the team finished the 2012 campaign with a -12 turnover differential and -9 sack differential. And if that isn’t enough to make you think twice about backing Indianapolis this year, take note that the Colts surrendered 30 more points than they scored in 2012. Teams cannot expect to consistently produce favorable results with glaring deficiencies in those three statistical categories.