Editor’s Note: ‘Players We Watched’ is Colts Authority’s annual film review of specific players’ performances during the preseason. The series is predicated on the idea that the importance of preseason lies in the play of individuals rather than the team as a whole. Roster battles and crucial practice squad spots are often decided by preseason […]
Over the weekend, the Colts made a few moves and released some information on their most recent injuries. While we’ve been focused on breaking down the first fresh film we’ve had available in months, it’s time to get caught up on all the Colts’ roster tweaks. Injuries The two injuries to occur on the offensive […]
I really do enjoy training camp and the preseason, much more than the average fan (or even the average analyst). I love tracking bottom-of-the roster players in preseason and watching the roster battles pan out. But the best part about training camp is proximity. At camp, the players are right there. No longer are they […]
Instead of daily camp reports, which I generally loathe (I know they get clicks, but they are full of worthless info, outside of injury news), I decided to compile all of the camp information into one big piece. But as I started writing I realized that said piece would be too long, so instead, here’s the […]
With their first preseason game coming on Thursday against the New York Jets, the Colts have released their first unofficial depth chart as a part of their pre-game press release. Per the release: Not many surprises here, based on how the team has distributed snaps during training camp. Just two things stuck out to me: […]
Welcome to the 2014 return of the #CATweetbag, or the Cat Wee Bag as it has become known. Today we’re talking Colts training camp, which I was fortunate enough to attend all this week while I’ve visited Indianapolis, Anderson and the surrounding area. By the way, thank you to all who I was able to […]
I wrote about this for Bleacher Report this morning, but I wanted to call attention to it here as well: The Colts continue to be ravaged by injuries, and it’s a historically significant phenomenon. According to Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Games Lost, the Colts have been in the bottom five of games lost due to injury […]
Welcome to the first episode of Colts Authority Radio: 2014 Edition! Tonight, Greg Cowan and Kyle Rodriguez power-summarize the entire 2014 offseason, and we look ahead to the 2014 Indianapolis Colts. You can listen to the show live here: http://www.blogtalkradio.com/coltsauthorityradio/2014/07/31/colts-authoritys-2014-season-preview-show You can follow Greg and Kyle on Twitter at
In the mad rush between the Annual release and my trip to Indianapolis for training camp this week, I’ve yet to lay out all of the implications from Vick Ballard’s season-ending Achilles tear. On one hand, Ballard is not an especially talented back, and losing him is not as big of a blow as losing […]
So, the first real day of Colts training camp was yesterday, and the Colts took the practice field. There are all kinds of storylines at training camp, but one of the biggest is the wide receiving corp. Reggie Wayne’s return, Hakeem Nicks’ arrival, rookie Donte Moncrief’ coming in, etc. But the most exciting of the […]
Ladies and gentlemen, we proudly present the 2014 Colts Authority Annual Season Preview! *applause* For the second-consecutive season, we have spent months working on our digital edition of the magazine-style season preview that was well-received by all last August. The preview includes articles written from all of your favorite Colts Authority authors, including Marcus Dugan, Greg […]
Just two quarterbacks finished in the top five in Win Probability Added (WPA) in both 2012 and 2013: Tom Brady and Andrew Luck.
I’ve long been a fan of the WPA metric, which calculates how much each play changes the likelihood of a particular team winning. From Brian Burke, the founder of Advanced Football Analytics (formerly Advanced Football Stats):
“The model created here at Advanced NFL Stats uses score, time, down, distance, and field position to estimate how likely each team will go on to win the game. For example, at the start of the 2nd quarter, a team down by 7 points with a 2nd down and 5 from their own 25 will win about 36% of the time–in other words a 0.36 WP.
“On that 2nd down and 5, let’s say there is a 30-yard pass, setting up a 1st down and 10 on the opponent’s 45. Now that team has gone from a 0.36 to a 0.39 WP. The WPA for that play would be +0.03.
“If instead the quarterback throws an interception returned back to the line of scrimmage, the opponent now has the ball at the 25, giving the trailing team a 0.28 WP. The WPA for the interception would be -0.08.”
Tackles are a befuddling statistic. Not because it’s confusing, or is a bad thing to track in and of itself, but because it’s so easy to misuse. Having a lot of tackles isn’t, on it’s own, a necessarily telling fact. Having a lot of tackles doesn’t help the team unless the tackles prevent a successful […]
As you may have heard by now, the worldwide leader recently came out with its 2014 NFL Future Power Rankings, which is an annual ranking of how each NFL team ranks in it’s projection over the next three seasons. The methodology was simple: Have the panel of NFL experts (John Clayton, Mel Kiper, Louis Riddick […]
From 1999 to 2006, Marvin Harrison had at least 80 catches, 1100 yards and 10 touchdowns in each season.
EIGHT STRAIGHT SEASONS.
Jerry Rice is the only other receiver in history with more than five such seasons, he also has eight, but over a span of 10 years. Harrison’s eight-year run is the most consistent stretch of elite production we’ve ever seen. Harrison also owns the most dominant four-year stretch of any wide receiver, having four straight seasons of 100 catches, 1400 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has more such seasons than any other receiver in history.