The consensus on the Colts 1st round pick is that there is no consensus. With the draft still 3 months away, a pick in the back half of the round, plenty of team needs and an organization with a history of leaking very little draft information that's not a surprise. The countless 2013 mock drafts out there do however give a nice, wide overview of the possibilities, and the right pick is probably in there somewhere. A long shot isn't so long with hundreds of attempts.
The Colts 1st round pick according to the first 25 mock drafts listed on Walterfootball's mock draft database:
Johnathan Jenkins, NT, Georgia (3 mocks), Massive 6'4" 359lb with the kind of "A person that big shouldn't move like that", agility which makes great linemen. Using a 1st round pick on a player who won't be a major factor against the pass and simply can't play every down isn't ideal, but it's pretty hard to run an effective 3-4 without a great NT. (Scouting Report)
Barrett Jones, G/C, Alabama (2 mocks), Smart (got an accounting degree in 3 years with a 4.0 GPA), experienced (49 college starts with 10+ at LT, C and G), tough (played the last half of this season with a Lisfranc injury) and a little nasty (see .gif) Jones has everything you could want in an offensive line prospect. Jones will very likely play inside in the NFL, but versatility is always a plus. (Scouting Reports)
Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma (2 mocks), A JUCO quarterback turned tight end and defensive end for Oklahoma, Johnson found a place at OT. He's still learning, but has lots of potential and shut down some talented pass rushers. (Scouting Reports)
Jesse Williams, DE/NT, Alabama (2 mocks), Williams played alongside Josh Chapman as a 5-tech DE in 2011 then moved into Chapman's NT spot after his graduation. At 6'4" 320lbs William's has the size and strength to be a run stuffer at DE or NT, though he's not much of a pass rusher. Williams is, to the best of my knowledge, the best prospect in NFL Draft history to have "YOLO" tattooed on his face. (Scouting Reports)
Sharrif Floyd, DE/DT, Florida (2 mocks), the 6'3" 303lb Floyd lined up everywhere from directly over the center as a NT to stand-up rushing at DE. Floyd can be a useful piece in many alignments and schemes. While not a top pass rusher he recorded 1.5 sacks in Florida's bowl game each of the last two years and lead the team in tackles for loss last season. (Scouting Reports)
Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU (2 mocks), Ansah came into the 2012 season with zero starts, 10 tackles and no sacks in two years. After a 62 tackle, 13 TFL, 8 QB pressure, 4.5 sack senior season he came onto the scouting radar where his phenomenal athleticism has him as a potential 1st round pick. The 6'6" 270lb Ansah originally came to BYU to run track. (Scouting Reports)
Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee (1 mock), WR isn't an area of immediate need for the Colts, but if the right WR drops I'm for it. Hunter or Cal WR Keenan Allen would likely be the right WR. (Scouting Reports)
Jonathan Cooper, C/G, North Carolina (1 mock), Along with Alabama's Chance Warmack and Barrett Jones, Cooper is a likely exception to the "interior linemen don't go in the 1st" guideline. Cooper has good size, is quite athletic and performed at a high level at UNC. (Scouting Reports)
Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State (1 mock), With 12 interceptions (3 returned for scores) in his career Banks is a dangerous CB to throw at, but having played mostly off-man in college there are questions about his speed and ability to translate into playing tighter coverages. (Scouting Reports)
Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon (1 mock) Long, lanky edge player at 6'7" 243lbs Jordan was a disruptive player off the edge with 14.5 sacks and 39 TFLs in 3 years after playing TE his freshman season. Obviously needs to bulk up to be an every down player at the NFL level, but has a rare size/athleticism mix. (Scouting Reports)
Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State. Manti T'eo, ILB, Notre Dame. Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU (1 mock each), While the Colts ILBs aren't exactly world beaters the Freeman, Conner, Angerer, Foku group is solid enough that it's the unit I'm least concerned about on the D going forward. With as many holes as the Colts have I'm not excited about the idea of spending a 1st round pick to upgrade a unit that has youth and depth, but is just decent rather than great.
Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas (1 mock) Great size, solid range and experience manning up as a nickel corner means Vaccaro can be an effective contributor in a number of roles. The Colts need DB help badly and adding a safety who can play the run and cover a deep half or slot WR would be huge. (Scouting Reports)
Datone Jones, DE/DT, UCLA (1 mock) Tall and strong, but without edge rushing speed or the bulk to play DT Jones seems like a perfect fit for a 3-4 DE spot. 6'5" 280lbs with 17.5 TFLs last year, Jones has great potential if he finds the right role. (Scouting Reports)
Sam Montgomery, DE/OLB, LSU (1 mock) 16 sacks and 25.5 TFLs in the last two years for one of the best defenses in the country, Montgomery isn't always the highest rated prospect off LSU's D, but he was the most productive. Does his college production negate concerns about agility and burst off the snap or are they a sign his college production won't hold up against NFL opposition? (Scouting Reports)
DJ Fluker, OT, Alabama (1 mock) An enormous Right Tackle prospect, Fluker measured a hair under 6'5" and all of 355lbs at the Senior Bowl. Fluker occasionally had trouble with top edge rushers, but generally, if he could get his hands on it, it was headed away from the play, fast. (Scouting Reports)
Alex Okafor, DE/OLB, Texas (1 mock) Productive rusher who finished strong with 4.5 sacks in the final game of his career against Oregon St. Not super fast around the edge and wasn't at his best playing in space so may be better suited to a 4-3 DE role. Was arrested last year for failure to obey, but charges were dropped. (Scouting Reports)
Sheldon Richardson, DE/DT, Missouri (1 mock) Richardson's always had the talent, but academic issues forced him to start his career at a JUCO and were reportedly the reason he was suspended a game this year. His disruptiveness on the interior (10.5 TFLs last year) has him a 1st round pick despite the limited time on the FBS level (13 starts) (Scouting Reports)
The Colts have plenty of needs going into the draft, but are in a position where they have a good shot at addressing one with a very talented prospect who slid a bit. They will need impact though with expectations raised by an 11-5 season and without a 2nd or 5th round pick due to trades (Vontae Davis and moving up for T.Y. Hilton).