While the Colts FO has made a point in mentioning both Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III whenever they discuss the top pick, the near universal expectation is that the Colts will, and should, select Luck. Luck is compared favoribly not just to the other QBs in this draft class, but to the best QB prospects to ever enter the league. The debate on Luck isn’t whether he’s the best prospect in this draft, but how many decades has it been since a better QB prospect was available. It’s not hard to see why the very high praise for Luck is unanimous, he has everything an evaluator could want. Luck has the size of an NFL QB at 6’4″ 234lbs, he has a strong arm and excellent accuracy, he’s a great athlete, he put up very good statistics at a high level of competition, his team won lots of games, it’s all there.
2009 (RS Freshman): 12 games, 162 for 288 (56.3%), 2575 yards, 8.9 Y/A, 13 TDs, 4 INTs.
2010 (RS Soph): 13 games, 263 for 372 (70.7%), 3332 yards, 9.0 Y/A, 32 TDs, 8 INTs.
2011 (RS Junior): 13 games, 288 for 404 (71.3%), 3517 yards, 8.7 Y/A, 37 TDs, 10 INTs.
40 Yard Dash: 4.67 seconds
Vertical Jump: 36 inches
Broad Jump: 10 feet, 4 inches
3 Cone Drill: 6.80 seconds
20 Yard Shuttle: 4.28 seconds
Health Check, by Laura Calaway:
Given that Luck wears a knee brace on his left leg, I expected to learn that he had a history of knee problems or some traumatic knee injury in his past. It turns out that Luck only wears the brace as a preventative measure – it seems to be “a Harbaugh thing” (though somebody in one forum suggested it was used to deliver a shock to Alex Smith to let him know where to throw the ball). Harbaugh wore one when he played, Luck wears one, and current Harbaugh tutorees Smith and Kaepernick wear them during games. The only drawbacks I could imagine of wearing a knee brace are (a) it would slow Luck down a tiny bit, and (b) he risks not winning Comeback Player of the Year after getting his knee wrecked by Bernard Pollard. Ok, so that’s a little sarcastic, but frankly I’m glad Luck has taken that step.
The only other injury Andrew Luck has suffered in his recent career is a broken right index finger against Notre Dame in 2009. The injury kept him out of the Sun Bowl that year (in which the Sooners defeated the Cardinals). But for the next 2 years, Luck went on to prove that ‘twas only a flesh wound, as he threw for 3338 and 3517 yards, respectively. Luck is not only one of the best quarterbacks in his class, but he’s one of the healthiest, too.
Positives: Everything not listed as a negative below. Luck is as complete a prospect as it gets, but there are some aspects of his game where the same nits are consistently picked.
Negatives: While his arm is expected to be plenty strong enough to make all the throws on the NFL level, there are QBs with stronger arms out there. Luck forced passes into coverage at times, especially when pressured. He has great accuracy, but no one is accurate enough to always hit tiny windows. His accuracy on deep passes and throwing on the move aren’t always great. Luck has a lot of hype to live up to, which might be the biggest obstacle he’ll face to being an elite NFL QB.