What is the #1 pick worth?

USA Today quotes Adam Schefter’s estimate of the value for the #1 pick:

“If somehow the Colts win a game and the Rams don’t, then that pick, for the Rams franchise, would be worth, roughly worth, three (first-round picks) and two (second-rounders), maybe four first-round picks. And so there’s a huge amount at stake if somehow the Colts — who will continue to try to win games — win another game, the Rams lose their two games and somehow come up with that pick.”

I don’t know how the value could be any different for the Colts.  I’d urge you to consider this analysis that suggests Peyton Manning is an outlier and the #1 pick more likely lands you Brad Johnson.